Ethiopia vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 0
ETH
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ETH
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
ETH
5 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ETH
2 - 2
TTO
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
BMU
0 - 1
ETH
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
TAN
1 - 1
KEN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
YEM
3 - 1
KEN
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
KEN
1 - 3
CMR
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
KEN
0 - 1
UGA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 0
ETH
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |