Ethiopia vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
63%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
KEN
3 - 0
ETH
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 0
KEN
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ETH
1 - 0
SLE
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ETH
1 - 1
BDI
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
SDN
0 - 0
ETH
39%
24%
37%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
GHA
11%
21%
68%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 2
GHA
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
JPN
0 - 2
GHA
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GHA
1 - 1
EGY
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
KSA
0 - 3
GHA
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |