Ethiopia vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
CGO
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
LBY
2 - 0
ETH
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 1
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 2
NGA
20%
28%
53%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
LBY
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NAM
0 - 1
GHA
15%
24%
62%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
EGY
2 - 1
GHA
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
GHA
6 - 1
EGY
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |