Ethiopia vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ETH
4 - 2
TUN
54%
20%
25%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ETH
2 - 3
ISR
41%
22%
38%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1961 |
ISR
1 - 0
ETH
74%
14%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1959 |
SDN
1 - 0
ETH
60%
20%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1959 |
EGY
4 - 0
ETH
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1962 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
87%
9%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1962 |
EGY
1 - 0
AUT
37%
23%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
MAR
2 - 2
EGY
60%
18%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
EGY
13 - 0
KSA
47%
21%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1961 |
EGY
0 - 2
HUN
19%
19%
62%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |