Ethiopia vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
ETH
0 - 3
KEN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
KEN
2 - 0
ETH
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -3 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ETH
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
ETH
5 - 0
DJI
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ETH
2 - 2
TTO
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 3
TUN
9%
20%
71%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
TOG
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MLI
2 - 1
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |