Ethiopia vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
ETH
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 3
ETH
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SYC
1 - 1
ETH
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
ETH
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
SYC
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
BDI
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
NIG
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
DJI
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |