Ethiopia vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
SLE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 0
ETH
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 0
GUY
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 3
GUI
26%
25%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
BFA
1 - 1
GNB
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MTN
1 - 2
BFA
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
EQG
0 - 0
BFA
29%
28%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BFA
0 - 0
SWZ
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |