Ethiopia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ALG
7 - 1
ETH
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
ETH
1 - 2
ANG
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
CMR
0 - 0
ETH
73%
19%
8%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COD
3 - 0
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 1
ETH
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ALG
7 - 1
ETH
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ALG
7 - 0
TAN
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TAN
2 - 2
ALG
16%
25%
59%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
SEN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |