Ethiopia vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 1
ETH
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ETH
0 - 0
BEN
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 2
KEN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
5 - 0
SOM
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SOM
0 - 0
ETH
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CTA
2 - 0
BOT
14%
23%
64%
|
11 | 66 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 0
CTA
87%
10%
3%
|
11 | 78 | 67 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
EQG
3 - 0
CTA
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 55 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTA
0 - 0
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
10 | 87 | 77 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MLT
2 - 1
CTA
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | -1 |