Ethiopia vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
3 - 1
ALG
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
1 - 0
CIV
53%
21%
26%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
2 - 1
UGA
77%
13%
10%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ETH
2 - 0
KEN
48%
21%
31%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
ETH
3 - 2
UGA
67%
18%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1968 |
COD
2 - 1
SEN
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
GHA
2 - 1
COD
81%
12%
7%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1968 |
COD
3 - 0
CGO
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
GHA
2 - 0
COD
71%
16%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
CGO
3 - 1
COD
47%
21%
32%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |