Ethiopia vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
LBY
2 - 0
ETH
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 1
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 2
NGA
20%
28%
53%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CTA
1 - 2
ETH
9%
16%
75%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIG
2 - 2
CGO
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
TUN
3 - 0
CGO
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |