Ethiopia vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
0 - 2
NGA
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
ETH
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ETH
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
SDN
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 0
BOT
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
MLI
25%
27%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MLI
3 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
RSA
18%
27%
56%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CTA
2 - 0
BOT
14%
23%
64%
|
66 | 11 | 55 | 0 |