Ethiopia U20 vs Netherlands U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
18%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
74.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
CRC
3 - 1
ETH
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2001 |
ECU
2 - 1
ETH
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
NED
1 - 1
ECU
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2001 |
NED
1 - 3
CRC
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1995 |
NED
0 - 3
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
NED
7 - 1
HND
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1995 |
NED
0 - 1
ARG
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |