Etincelles FC vs Musanze FC analysis

Etincelles FC Musanze FC
45 ELO 49
-18.4% Tilt -20.7%
5534º General ELO ranking 5654º
11º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
34.2%
Etincelles FC
27.1%
Draw
38.7%
Musanze FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
Etincelles FC
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.7%
Win probability
Musanze FC
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Etincelles FC
-19%
-24%
Musanze FC

ELO progression

Etincelles FC
Musanze FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Etincelles FC
Etincelles FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2020
ETI
Etincelles FC
2 - 1
Espoir FC
ESP
50%
26%
25%
45 40 5 0
04 Dec. 2020
MUH
AS Muhanga FC
1 - 1
Etincelles FC
ETI
46%
27%
27%
45 45 0 0
11 Mar. 2020
ETI
Etincelles FC
0 - 0
AS Muhanga FC
MUH
42%
27%
31%
46 46 0 -1
07 Mar. 2020
MAR
Marines FC
1 - 1
Etincelles FC
ETI
50%
27%
23%
46 49 3 0
04 Mar. 2020
ETI
Etincelles FC
1 - 2
Rayon Sport
RAY
18%
26%
56%
47 60 13 -1

Matches

Musanze FC
Musanze FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2020
MUS
Musanze FC
2 - 1
AS Muhanga FC
MUH
47%
27%
27%
48 45 3 0
10 Mar. 2020
MUS
Musanze FC
2 - 0
Gicumbi
GIC
60%
24%
17%
48 39 9 0
07 Mar. 2020
RAY
Rayon Sport
2 - 1
Musanze FC
MUS
70%
19%
12%
49 60 11 -1
04 Mar. 2020
SUN
Sunrise
1 - 2
Musanze FC
MUS
48%
25%
27%
48 49 1 +1
16 Feb. 2020
MUS
Musanze FC
1 - 1
Espoir FC
ESP
53%
25%
21%
48 43 5 0