Etincelles FC vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
15º
7º
47
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etincelles FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
APR
4 - 2
ETI
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ETI
2 - 0
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 0
ETI
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ETI
2 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 1
ETI
32%
26%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ASK
2 - 2
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GFC
0 - 1
ASK
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 0
ASK
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ASK
3 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |