Ethnikos Piraeus vs Messiniakos Kalamata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Piraeus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
APS
0 - 1
ETH
26%
30%
45%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
ETH
2 - 0
TPF
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
AOC
1 - 2
ETH
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ETH
3 - 0
KER
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
DIA
0 - 1
ETH
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Messiniakos Kalamata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
AHA
1 - 1
MES
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
MES
2 - 1
ROD
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACH
0 - 3
MES
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
MES
1 - 0
PGE
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
MES
1 - 2
TRI
14%
24%
62%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |