Ethnikos Piraeus vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
69%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Piraeus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
3 - 1
KIS
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
3 - 1
ANK
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZON
1 - 1
ETH
15%
25%
60%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ETH
3 - 0
APS
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OFI
3 - 2
ARI
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
TRI
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
ARI
17%
26%
57%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATR
1 - 1
ARI
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
LAM
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |