Ethnikos Gazoros vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Gazoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 0
ETH
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
0 - 1
ERG
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
NIK
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
THR
1 - 0
ETH
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
XAN
1 - 1
ETH
84%
13%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APS
0 - 2
PGE
54%
26%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
PFC
4 - 1
APS
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OLY
3 - 0
APS
61%
24%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 0
APS
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
APS
1 - 1
PFC
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |