Ethnikos Filippiada vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Filippiada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
3 - 0
KAM
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TIL
0 - 3
ETH
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ETH
2 - 0
DOX
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
KER
0 - 0
ETH
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ETH
3 - 0
AGI
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 0
KER
80%
13%
6%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
KAS
0 - 2
LAR
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 0
ODY
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
DOX
1 - 5
LAR
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 0
KOZ
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |