Ethnikos Asteras vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AKR
0 - 2
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ETH
2 - 0
PAN
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ERG
2 - 1
ETH
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ETH
1 - 2
KER
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
LEV
0 - 3
ETH
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 1
PAN
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
AEK
2 - 2
LAR
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 2
AEK
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
LAR
0 - 1
ACH
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ACH
1 - 2
LAR
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |