Ethnikos Asteras vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
POS
0 - 2
ETH
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ETH
0 - 2
LEV
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
KAL
0 - 0
ETH
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ETH
0 - 1
ILI
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
ETH
0 - 0
PAN
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2004 |
APS
1 - 0
PAN
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PRO
4 - 0
APS
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
APS
0 - 2
KAS
38%
29%
33%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
APS
1 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ATR
0 - 1
APS
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |