Ethnikos Assias vs APEP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Assias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OMP
2 - 1
ETH
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 3
GER
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 0
ETH
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
APE
0 - 0
ETH
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 3
ENA
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
APE
1 - 1
APE
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
APE
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
APE
1 - 3
ANA
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KAM
3 - 0
APE
7%
12%
81%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ORM
4 - 1
APE
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |