UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Ethnikos Achnas vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
ETH
3 - 1
APO
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
NEA
0 - 1
ETH
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ETH
2 - 0
AEK
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
PAF
0 - 1
ETH
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ETH
0 - 0
OLY
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
RAB
3 - 3
MAK
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MAK
2 - 1
NAP
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
MAK
1 - 1
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
POB
1 - 0
MAK
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MAK
2 - 0
PEL
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |