UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 4-3
Ethnikos Achnas vs Maccabi Petah Tikva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
MPT
0 - 2
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
ETH
0 - 0
OSI
34%
24%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
OSI
2 - 2
ETH
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
ETH
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ETH
4 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Maccabi Petah Tikva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
MPT
0 - 2
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
ZRI
1 - 3
MPT
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2006 |
MPT
1 - 1
ZRI
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MPT
2 - 1
HAP
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MAC
2 - 1
MPT
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |