UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
Ethnikos Achnas vs Györ ETO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
GYO
1 - 1
ETH
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
ENO
0 - 3
ETH
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ETH
3 - 2
AEK
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ARI
3 - 3
ETH
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ETH
2 - 1
AEL
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Györ ETO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
GYO
1 - 1
ETH
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
BFC
2 - 1
GYO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
GYO
0 - 2
FTC
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MTK
3 - 1
GYO
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
UJP
3 - 1
GYO
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |