UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Ethnikos Achnas vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BES
0 - 0
ETH
39%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ETH
4 - 3
ENO
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
APO
0 - 2
ETH
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
APO
1 - 0
ETH
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ETH
2 - 2
APO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BES
0 - 0
ETH
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TEU
3 - 5
BES
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
BES
2 - 0
BES
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
DIN
2 - 0
BES
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BES
0 - 1
PAR
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |