Ethnikos Achnas vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
12º
8º
49
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 55 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 30 |
8º
|
79.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 25 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 21 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
13º
|
60% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 0
ETH
56%
22%
23%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AEL
5 - 2
ETH
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ETH
3 - 1
AEZ
78%
14%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 2
ANO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
ETH
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
OMO
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAF
1 - 1
ARI
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 0
APO
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 3
ARI
17%
24%
60%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 0
OMM
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |