Ethnikos Achnas vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
12º
8º
45
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 55 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 30 |
8º
|
79.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 25 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 21 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
13º
|
60% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
NEA
0 - 3
ETH
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 2
APO
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
1 - 0
OMO
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
PAF
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
APO
0 - 0
ETH
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
AEK
0 - 3
OMO
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PAF
0 - 1
AEK
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 0
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
8 - 0
PAE
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OMO
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |