Ethiopian Insurance vs Hambericho Durame analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 3
ETH
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 2
ETH
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SIB
0 - 0
ETH
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 2
AWK
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
WED
2 - 2
ETH
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hambericho Durame
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
HDR
0 - 1
AWK
13%
21%
67%
|
10 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
KET
2 - 2
HDR
79%
15%
7%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ENB
5 - 1
HDR
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HAD
2 - 0
HDR
76%
16%
8%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
HDR
0 - 3
ADK
15%
24%
61%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |