Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa Kenema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
16º
3º
40
5º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SIB
0 - 4
ETH
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ETH
2 - 0
MEH
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ETH
2 - 3
BAH
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 2
ETH
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WED
0 - 1
ETH
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dire Dawa Kenema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
2 - 1
MEH
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
1 - 1
MAK
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
3 - 1
ETB
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
AWK
2 - 2
DIR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
DIR
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |