Ethiopian Insurance vs Bahardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopian Insurance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 2
HAD
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
ADK
3 - 0
ETH
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
KET
0 - 0
ETH
41%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 1
ETB
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 2
WOL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bahardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
WED
0 - 1
BAH
33%
30%
38%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
AWK
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 4
SIB
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KGI
2 - 2
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 3
BAH
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |