Ethiopia Bunna vs Addis Ababa Ketema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethiopia Bunna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ETB
2 - 1
ADK
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AWK
1 - 3
ETB
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
HAD
1 - 0
ETB
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
ETB
4 - 3
WOL
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ETB
2 - 1
DIR
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Addis Ababa Ketema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
WED
0 - 1
AAK
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AAK
1 - 1
JAJ
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
AAK
1 - 1
DIR
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
AWK
2 - 2
AAK
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 1
AAK
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |