Etar vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 2
ETA
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
NEF
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
LYU
0 - 0
ETA
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 1
ETA
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 1
ETA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
6 - 0
NES
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NES
1 - 0
DOR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 3
NES
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LYU
2 - 0
NES
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NES
0 - 1
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |