Etar vs Neftochimic Burgas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ETA
2 - 1
POM
55%
26%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 2
ETA
8%
17%
76%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ETA
3 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OBO
1 - 2
ETA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ETA
2 - 1
LEV
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
NEF
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NEF
1 - 2
LSO
16%
26%
58%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
NEF
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NEF
1 - 0
BER
16%
27%
57%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CSK
5 - 1
NEF
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |