Etar vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
ETA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ETA
1 - 0
NES
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SVA
1 - 1
ETA
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ETA
3 - 1
NEF
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 2
ETA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CVA
0 - 3
LUD
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 1
GOT
85%
11%
3%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 0
SSO
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SVE
1 - 3
CVA
9%
23%
67%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
CVA
2 - 1
VID
78%
16%
5%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |