Etar vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
1 - 0
ETA
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ETA
1 - 1
LPL
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CSK
3 - 1
ETA
78%
15%
6%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ETA
0 - 4
LOV
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LSO
3 - 0
ETA
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BVR
1 - 1
LUD
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
CHB
2 - 1
BVR
73%
19%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
0 - 1
BVR
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BVR
1 - 0
LPL
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CSK
3 - 0
BVR
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |