ESV Ingolstadt vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
WWO
1 - 1
ESV
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
ESV
1 - 2
SCF
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
RVO
3 - 1
ESV
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
ESV
0 - 0
SGF
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
WAL
2 - 1
ESV
60%
21%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
ULM
3 - 0
SVS
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
BUR
4 - 0
ULM
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 0
ULM
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
ULM
0 - 0
SAA
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
FCN
2 - 1
ULM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |