ESV Ingolstadt vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1981 |
OFC
2 - 1
ESV
80%
13%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
WAL
4 - 0
ESV
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
ESV
0 - 2
SVS
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 2
ESV
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
ESV
3 - 1
BNE
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1981 |
FRE
1 - 3
SVS
49%
23%
28%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
BUR
4 - 1
FRE
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
FRE
5 - 2
BNE
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
EIN
2 - 0
FRE
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
FRE
2 - 1
EPP
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |