ESV Ingolstadt vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
SAA
5 - 0
ESV
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
ESV
1 - 3
FCN
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
FSV
1 - 2
ESV
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
TCZ
2 - 6
ESV
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
ESV
2 - 0
DAR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
FRE
3 - 3
SVS
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
WUR
2 - 2
FRE
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
FRE
4 - 4
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 1
SAA
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
EIN
2 - 2
FRE
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |