ESV Freilassing vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESV Freilassing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DJK
1 - 3
ESF
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ESF
3 - 3
HOL
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ESF
1 - 2
FCT
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
ESF
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ESF
4 - 1
TSE
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HOL
5 - 3
ERL
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
ERL
3 - 0
TVV
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DEI
2 - 0
ERL
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 2
ASD
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
4 - 1
ERL
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |