Tecos vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
2º
17
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NAY
3 - 2
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
13%
17%
70%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
EST
0 - 3
LEO
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MFC
82%
12%
5%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
3 - 1
TAM
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAC
5 - 2
CAF
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CAF
1 - 2
ZAC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |