Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Tecos vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
EST
3 - 0
PUE
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 1
EST
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PUM
3 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
PAC
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 3
AME
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 0
SNL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TOL
4 - 0
ATS
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 0
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |