Tecos vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
54.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MON
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
AUR
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
EST
0 - 2
MOR
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 2
EST
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
NEC
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 2
TOL
22%
22%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 3
CAZ
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
CON
3 - 3
TOL
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 0
AME
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |