Tecos vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
EST
2 - 1
LEO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 2
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
EST
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
REB
1 - 1
EST
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
0 - 0
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 2
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |