Tecos vs Tigres de Álica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+515%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
12º
6º
9
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 1% |
|
Play-offs
|
67.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
3 - 2
EST
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LCU
4 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
LCU
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
3 - 0
ZAC
14%
20%
65%
|
13 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
TDA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
1 - 0
MFC
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | +4 |