Tecos vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
EST
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
PUE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
SNL
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |