Tecos vs La Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
EST
1 - 3
LAP
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
2 - 1
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
UDG
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
La Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
3 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LAP
3 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +3 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
LAP
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 2
LAP
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 2
LOB
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -2 |