Tecos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
EST
1 - 2
PUM
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
JAG
2 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
EST
3 - 2
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
MON
3 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
EST
1 - 2
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 1
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PUM
0 - 3
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |