Tecos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 2
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EST
3 - 2
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
JAG
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 3
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 2
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
PUE
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NEC
4 - 1
AME
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |