Tecos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
3 - 1
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 1
EST
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
QRO
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 2
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 0
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 1
NEC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
PUM
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PUE
2 - 2
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
IRA
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |